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Posted June 24th, 2010 by Charles Purdy


EURO/GBP – 1.218
US$/GBP – 1.495
CHF/GBP – 1.654
CAN$/GBP – 1.555
AUS$/GBP – 1.722

Sterling hit a 6 week high against the US dollar of $1.4999/£1 after sentiment was given a large boost. Firstly, following the emergency budget on Tuesday, credit rating agency Moody’s stated that the UK will retain the AAA credit rating if it successfully implements Tuesday’s measures. In addition, investors were in for a shock when the Bank of England’s minutes for this month’s meeting on monetary policy showed that one of the Bank members voted for a rise in interest rates – the first time for over 2 years that anyone has voted for a rate hike. With VAT set to rise to 20% and a round of tough spending cuts, the affirmation from Moody’s should ease investor concern over the UK. As a result, the pound saw a welcome boost. However, many analysts said that whilst the rise was justified, there are still genuine concerns over the possibility that the cuts and tax hikes could stifle out growth. As a result, many expect that the pound will not have the momentum to push far past $1.50/ £1 for some time. Get in touch now to take advantage of the best price in 6 weeks.

In the Euro zone, the euro fell against the pound as investors flocked to sterling. The pound hit 1.2189/ £1 at one point yesterday. Sentiment towards the euro is still poor, as Portugal announced that borrowing from the ECB by banks in the country doubled in May to a new record level. Banks in the region are having to borrow directly from the central bank, as they face difficulties borrowing on the ‘interbank’ market. The interbank market is where banks borrow money on a short term basis (e.g. overnight) to pay obligations. Due to poor sentiment in the region, the interest rates for overnight lending are prohibitively high and banks are going to the central bank for financing. Out today, we have some retail sales and industrial data – call in now for a live exchange rate.

In the USA, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates on hold. And the language in their statement was slightly more pessimistic than last month, suggesting that an interest rate hike by the end of the year will be less likely. This added to the US dollar’s losses against the pound. Out later today, we have US durable goods orders which are expected to drop marginally for the month. Call in now for a live price.

Elsewhere, the Australian prime minister has resigned due to unpopularity over a ‘super-tax’ on natural resources companies. This has boosted mining stocks and has seen some Aus dollar strength overnight, as the threat of punishing taxes on Australia’s biggest economic earners has now receded. Get in touch for a live exchange rate.

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