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Posted May 31st, 2011 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP - 1.1457
US$/GBP – 1.6518
CHF/GBP – 1.4037
CAN$/GBP - 1.6026
AUS$/GBP – 1.5427
ZAR/GBP – 11.382
JPY/GBP – 134.72
HKD/GBP – 12.847
NZD/GBP – 2.0002
SEK/GBP – 10.181
US$/EURO - 1.4417

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Sterling finished last week on a high, gaining against a weaker US dollar as US data disappointed. Sterling therefore starts the week over $1.65/£1 against the US dollar, but this is more the pound tracking euro strength against the dollar. With a long weekend in both the UK and USA, data is thin on the ground today. However, there is a wide range of data on the manufacturing, construction and services sectors later in the week. These figures are closely watched to give a picture of UK economic activity so any significant moves will have an impact on sterling and sterling’s prospects. Call in now for a live exchange rate.
 
In the euro zone, the big news from the long weekend for those returning to their desks today is that European Union leaders will decide on additional aid for Greece by the end of June. Following a meeting in Paris yesterday, Jean-Claude Juncker (head of group euro-area finance ministers) ruled out a “total restructuring” of Greek debt, with the EU and IMF set to wrap up their recent review of the stricken country’s finances. This has helped the euro to recover from lows hit due to concerns that Greece may even need to leave the euro zone completely. In terms of data, there is inflation data released today so call in now for a live exchange rate.
 
In the USA, the US dollar slipped against a basket of currencies to the lowest level in 3 weeks, having fallen towards the end of last week after poor data dented the outlook for the US currency. With a recovery from the euro off the back of positive moves on Greece, the US dollar is not an attractive prospect for many investors. Later this week we have manufacturing and employment figures that are likely to cement the view that the US recovery will remain sluggish for now.
 
Elsewhere, the New Zealand dollar jumped to a record high against the US dollar on speculation that the central Bank will raise interest rates after a report showed that business confidence rose to a 12 month high in May. Following the recent earthquake, an emergency rate cut was made in order to compensate for any lack of growth, but many analysts now expect this to be reversed soon. Get in touch now for a live exchange rate.

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Posted May 27th, 2011 by Charles Purdy

Daily Curency Note

EURO/GBP - 1.1531
US$/GBP 1.6455
CHF/GBP – 1.4104
CAN$/GBP - 1.6054
AUS$/GBP – 1.5383
ZAR/GBP – 11.366
JPY/GBP – 133.23
HKD/GBP – 12.808
NZD/GBP – 2.0114
SEK/GBP – 10.246
US$/EURO - 1.4267


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Sterling ended the week on a high, hitting a 2 ½ month high against the euro as investors speculated that Europe may be expected to extend further aid to help Greece. The pound pushed through the €1.16/£1 barrier – the highest since mid-March – boosted by Asian demand and comments from Eurogroup President Jean-Claude Juncker. Whilst it is clear that the UK does not carry the same issues as Greece, any potential gains against the euro are likely to be capped given the prospect of low interest rates in the UK until late 2011 at the earliest. Whilst Thursday was clearly a positive for many euro buyers, sterling is treading a fine line currently and could quite as easily drop back down. Out today, we have house price figures which on current form look set to disappoint. 

In the euro zone, it was a poor day to end a poor week for the region. Eurogroup President Jean-Claude Juncker spooked the markets on Thursday, suggesting that the IMF may not pay the next instalment of aid to Greece and Europe would need to step in and foot the bill, a scenario that would not go down well with the likes of Germany and France. This saw the single currency plummet across the board as investors scrambled to other currencies. The euro also hit a record low against the Swiss franc. Out today, we have German inflation data, so call in now for a live exchange rate. 

In the USA, the US dollar slipped against sterling on Thursday after GDP figures came in lower than expected. Many had anticipated an upward revision to 2.2%, but it remained unchanged at 1.8%. In addition, despite an expected fall in the number of weekly jobless claims, this figure increased by 20,000. There is a wide array of data released today, so call in for a live exchange rate.

Elsewhere, the Chinese yuan hit a record high against the US dollar after Chinese authorities adjusted the mid-rate on the ‘pegged’ (i.e. fixed) exchange rate. The Chinese government is set to manipulate the exchange rate to tackle domestic issues such as high inflation, but with a weaker US dollar the yuan may not appreciate as much as they hope. Certainly an interesting one to keep an eye on.

For more information on Smart Currency Exchange, please call our freephone: 0808 163 0102 (+44 (0)207 898 0541 from outside the UK) or visit our website at: SmartCurrencyExchange.com

Posted May 26th, 2011 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP - 1.1502
US$/GBP – 1.6305
CHF/GBP – 1.4198
CAN$/GBP - 1.5935
AUS$/GBP – 1.5393
ZAR/GBP – 11.401
JPY/GBP – 133.63
HKD/GBP – 12.688
NZD/GBP – 2.0159
SEK/GBP – 10.233
US$/EURO - 1.4174

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Sterling strengthened for a second day against the US dollar as data showed that U.K. exports helped the economy resume growth in the first quarter, outweighing the biggest slump in consumer spending in almost two years. Sterling also gained against the euro, breaking beyond €1.15/£1 against the single currency as euro weakness gave sterling a boost. The biggest gains were against the South African rand, where sterling surged by nearly 2% against the notoriously volatile currency.

In the euro zone, the euro hit a fresh low against the ‘safe haven’ Swiss franc yesterday on uncertainty over the Greek debt crisis. Greece is very much under the spotlight and yesterday, Greek newspaper reports suggested that the Greek government is considering organising a referendum on additional austerity measures after it failed to reach consensus with the opposition, casting further doubt on the country’s ability to tackle its debt crisis. The lack of clear direction over the country’s issues is causing concerns amongst global investors. Despite this, the euro strengthened against the US dollar on rumours that China has been actively buying Portuguese “bail out” bonds.

In the USA, the US dollar had strengthened against the euro on concerns over the Greek debt crisis, but the euro has seen some strength overnight. Data showed that US durable goods orders decreased 3.6% following a 4.1 percent jump in March, falling the most in six months, which did not help the currency. In addition, House prices in the U.S. declined 0.3 percent in March from February, less than the 0.5 percent drop forecast in a Bloomberg News survey. Out later today, we have GDP figures for the USA, so call in now for a live exchange rate.

Elsewhere the South African rand fell to its weakest level in more than two months against the dollar as concern that Europe’s debt crisis is deepening sapped demand for higher- yielding, ‘riskier’ commodity based assets. Australia’s dollar also slipped on a report that the Chinese sovereign wealth fund would buy New Zealand assets.

For more information on Smart Currency Exchange, please call our freephone: 0808 163 0102 (+44 (0)207 898 0541 from outside the UK) or visit our website at: SmartCurrencyExchange.com

Posted May 25th, 2011 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP - 1.1510
US$/GBP – 1.6145
CHF/GBP – 1.4198
CAN$/GBP - 1.5827
AUS$/GBP – 1.5411
ZAR/GBP – 11.361
JPY/GBP – 132.25
HKD/GBP – 12.556
NZD/GBP – 2.0364
SEK/GBP – 10.290
US$/EURO - 1.4038

To request a up-to-the minute quotation, call 0808 163 0102 or fill out our quote form: http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/quote.aspx

Sterling gained by 0.5% against the US dollar yesterday morning, recovering from an earlier 7 week low that was hit after investors speculated over the scope and extent of a potential downgrade of UK banks by rating agency Moody’s. Many investors covered short positions in order to avoid the volatility of a potential announcement and this helped the pound recover slightly, whilst mixed UK public sector borrowing figures had little or no effect. Data showed that net borrowing dropped from last month’s £15.6bn to £7.7bn, but this was higher than the £5bn that had been forecast by the markets. Sterling still remains vulnerable against the US dollar as it is liable to track euro weakness against the US currency in the wake of the next round of the euro zone debt crisis. Call in now for a live exchange rate, as we have revised GDP data which could cause some movement.
 
In the euro zone, the euro edged up from a two-month low against the dollar on Tuesday, helped by stronger than expected German economic data, but the gains are likely to be short lived in the wake of a resurgence in the European debt crisis. The euro has dropped by 5% since early May, taking a hammering on speculation that the Greek bailout will need restructuring and on fears of a contagion spread to Spain and Italy. Out today, there is German consumer confidence figures so call in now for a live exchange rate.
 
In the USA, the US dollar slipped yesterday as strong data helped to boost risk appetite and reverse (to an extent) Monday’s moves. Figures showed that purchases of new houses rose to the highest level this year. Sales increased 7.3 percent to a 323,000 annual pace last month, surprising many investors who had expected poor figures. Combined with the better than expected German figures, this saw less panic from investors and as such, they moved out of US dollars into other ‘riskier’ currencies. There is key durable goods order data released today, so call in for a live exchange rate.
 
Elsewhere, the New Zealand dollar gained more than 1 percent against the US dollar after a quarterly survey on behalf of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand showed inflation expectations in the country rose in the second quarter, boosting expectations that the central bank would look to hike rates in the coming months. In addition, the Australian dollar was up 0.3% to $1.0542, off a one-month low of $1.0478 hit on Monday.

For more information on Smart Currency Exchange, please call our freephone: 0808 163 0102 (+44 (0)207 898 0541 from outside the UK) or visit our website at: SmartCurrencyExchange.com

Posted May 24th, 2011 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP - 1.1462
US$/GBP – 1.6127
CHF/GBP – 1.4242
CAN$/GBP - 1.5740
AUS$/GBP – 1.5291
ZAR/GBP – 11.280
JPY/GBP – 131.86
HKD/GBP – 12.540
NZD/GBP – 2.0254
SEK/GBP – 10.231
US$/EURO - 1.4073

To request a up-to-the minute quotation, call 0808 163 0102 or fill out our quote form: http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/quote.aspx

Sterling hit a 2 month high against the euro yesterday as Bank of England Chief Economist Spencer Dale said in an interview over the weekend that Bank of England policy makers should increase interest rates to avoid damaging the UK economy. Sterling benefited from euro weakness, but this increased risk aversion and saw the pound fall by 0.7% against the US dollar to hit a low of $1.6087/£1 as investors cut exposure to riskier assets. One currency analyst did feel that sterling had been oversold against the US dollar, and as such there could be some upside against the US dollar in the coming weeks. Out later today, we have public sector borrowing figures, which could see some movement so speak to one of the team for a live exchange rate.
 
The euro fell broadly yesterday, hitting a two-month low against the US dollar and sterling as concerns grew over a potential restructuring of Greek debt. After a flurry of credit rating downgrades over the last few days, rating agency Fitch yesterday cut its outlook for Belgium to negative. The euro hit a record low against the Swiss franc, with more losses expected on fears that the euro zone debt crisis is getting worse, with doubts over Spain’s austerity measures also emerging as the ruling party lost out in key regional elections. This current bout of the debt crisis has the potential to cause some serious issues, so ensure you cover yourself to avoid any adverse market movements.
 
The US dollar rose against all of its 16 most-traded counterparts as the euro slipped below $1.40 for the first time in 2 months as concerns over a resurgent debt crisis in Europe grew and investors scrambled to put their funds into the safe haven currency of the US dollar. The high yielding ‘riskier; Australian dollar was one of the worst performers against the US dollar falling nearly 1.5%. Out today, we have new home sales data so call in for a live price.
 
Elsewhere, other traditionally risky high yielding currencies also declined, with the South African rand dropping by 2% against the US currency and nearly 1% against sterling. Call in now for a live price – one upside of the current movement is that sterling has gained against the ‘commodity’ based currencies.

For more information on Smart Currency Exchange, please call our freephone: 0808 163 0102 (+44 (0)207 898 0541 from outside the UK) or visit our website at: SmartCurrencyExchange.com

Posted May 23rd, 2011 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP - 1.1518
US$/GBP – 1.6145
CHF/GBP – 1.4251
CAN$/GBP - 1.5796
AUS$/GBP – 1.5294
ZAR/GBP – 11.278
JPY/GBP – 131.52
HKD/GBP – 12.556
NZD/GBP – 2.0445
SEK/GBP – 10.271
US$/EURO - 1.4027

To request a up-to-the minute quotation, call 0808 163 0102 or fill out our quote form: http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/quote.aspx

Sterling starts the week slightly lower against the US dollar, having tracked the euro’s decline against the US currency over the weekend. Sterling is hovering just above the €1.15/£1 mark after concerns over the euro zone debt crisis pushed the single currency lower. The subsequent drop in risk appetite has seen demand for the safe haven US dollar and the FTSE 100 open lower this morning. Despite data last week showing higher than expected inflation and retail sales figures in the UK, analysts are still lacklustre over the UK recovery. The Bank of England’s chief economist Spencer Dale said in an interview over the weekend that the MPC must start to tackle inflation by raising interest rates or risk damaging the economy and its own credibility. Out this week we have borrowing and revised GDP figures, so call in now for a live exchange rate.
 
In the euro zone, the euro continued to suffer on worries over a potential restructuring of Greek debt. Rating agency Fitch downgraded Greece’s rating last week and Standard & Poor fanned the flames by doing the same to Italy over the weekend. A debt restructuring is the last resort for Greece, and the country’s prime minister said that the country should push on with budget cuts to overcome the debt crisis. It is relatively quiet for data this week, but expect the debt crisis to cause significant movements.
 
In the USA, the US dollar starts the week at a 2 month high against the euro as the fragility of the debt crisis situation has a knock on effect on the risk appetite of investors. Markets are currently positioned to expect a further drop from the single currency, which would see sterling drop against the US dollar. Out this week, we have home sales and GDP figures so call in now for a live exchange rate.
 
Elsewhere, markets are keeping a close eye on a fresh volcanic eruption in Iceland after travel and freight disruption caused shockwaves around the globe that cost the airline industry around £1bn. With so many fragile recoveries, similar disruptions are the last thing financial markets need.

For more information on Smart Currency Exchange, please call our freephone: 0808 163 0102 (+44 (0)207 898 0541 from outside the UK) or visit our website at: SmartCurrencyExchange.com

Posted May 20th, 2011 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP - 1.1342
US$/GBP 1.6246
CHF/GBP – 1.4284
CAN$/GBP - 1.5687
AUS$/GBP – 1.5203
ZAR/GBP – 11.181
JPY/GBP – 132.54
HKD/GBP – 12.630
NZD/GBP – 2.0451
SEK/GBP – 10.133
US$/EURO - 1.4324

To request a up-to-the minute quotation, call 0808 163 0102 or fill out our quote form: http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/quote.aspx

Sterling gained against the euro and US dollar yesterday after UK retail sales data beat expectations. However, investors took the opportunity to take profits on the gains and as such sterling fell off from the day’s earlier highs. Retail sales jumped by 1.1% in April, beating expectations of a 0.8% gain and were boosted by a number of bank holidays and the Royal Wedding. However, this had no impact on analyst expectations that the UK recovery would lag and the Bank of England would refrain from raising interest rates in the near future. Financial markets are pricing in a 0.25% rate rise in January of next year after the Bank of England’s meeting minutes showed no change in the voting from the previous month. Despite inflation coming in higher than expected, the Bank governor said that an interest rate hike could threaten the recovery. Call in now for a live exchange rate.
 
In the euro zone, it has been a turbulent week following the arrest of IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn. Strauss-Kahn had been seen as a key player in the negotiation of a new bail out for Greece. The euro stabilised towards the end of the week though after finance ministers approved the emergency bail out loan for Portugal, passing through the decision without the help of Strauss-Kahn. However, with fears of a restructuring of the debt in Greece, the euro’s gains are likely to be limited. Get in touch for a live price.
 
In the USA, the US dollar took a hit on Thursday after data showed that manufacturing growth had slowed in the previous month. In addition, existing home sales dropped in April leaving many concerned that the US recovery was stuttering. Goldman Sachs in fact downgraded their expectations over the US recovery this week, stating that the country was lagging far behind the rest of the world. It is a quiet day for data today.
 
Elsewhere, the Bank of Japan unanimously voted to maintain monetary policy following a report that showed the country had slipped into recession following the recent earthquake. Many expect the economy to rebound later in the year as the rebuilding effort takes effect.

For more information on Smart Currency Exchange, please call our freephone: 0808 163 0102 (+44 (0)207 898 0541 from outside the UK) or visit our website at: SmartCurrencyExchange.com

Posted May 19th, 2011 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP - 1.1318
US$/GBP
1.6158
CHF/GBP
1.4220
CAN$/GBP
- 1.5653
AUS$/GBP
1.5170
ZAR/GBP
11.1385
JPY/GBP
 131.994
HKD/GBP
 12.564
NZD/GBP
2.0391
SEK/GBP
10.175
US$/EURO
- 1.4272

To request a up-to-the minute quotation, call 0808 163 0102 or fill out our quote form: http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/quote.aspx

Sterling suffered following the release of the minutes of the last Bank of England meeting. Voting was the same [6 to 3 in favour of no change in interest rates] and the sentiment was the same – lets wait and see how the recovery takes hold before increasing interest rates. The end result is that the brief bounce that sterling experienced following the high inflation data of Tuesday drifted away as the markets have pushed back possible dates for when the BoE will increase interest rates. Unemployment data came in slightly better than expected at 2.46 million. As can be seen from this weeks movement exchange rates continue to be volatile so call in now to get the latest information and the latest rates.
 
The debate in the Euro zone is obviously heating up over Greek debt with the European Central Bank being at odds with the politicians. The ECB is taking a hard-line in that any change to repayment dates is a default whereas the politicians want to present it as a “restructuring”. Will be interesting to see who wins and what the outcome is. Despite this the euro still continues to outshine sterling giving the increasing interest rate environment and the strong growth being enjoyed by Germany and France. Call in now to get the latest rate.
 
The minutes of the last Federal Reserve meeting were released. Risk aversion increased as it was clear from the minutes that following the completion of the second phase of quantitative easing at the end of June the expectation was for a tightening in liquidity. The Federal Reserve Chairman stated the US economy still needs monetary support. It has been suggested that if there is a large enough increase in the $14.3 trillion  limit on the nation’s debt, there is a possibility some of these resources will be directed towards helping the Federal Reserve when the central bank chooses to tighten monetary policy. This increased risk aversion benefitted the US$ which is pulling back towards the US$1.60/£1 level.
 
New Zealand’s currency did well yesterday as statistics showed there was a 2.2% increase in producer input prices in the first quarter of this year. The Canadian dollar lost ground as expectations of an increase in interest rates fell against many of its major counterparts and even hit a seven-week low against the US dollar. It hit a low of 97.26 cents. There is speculation that the Canadian dollar will decline to $1.05 against the US dollar by the end of year.  

For more information on Smart Currency Exchange, please call our freephone: 0808 163 0102 (+44 (0)207 898 0541 from outside the UK) or visit our website at: SmartCurrencyExchange.com

Posted May 18th, 2011 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP - 1.1382
US$/GBP – 1.6236
CHF/GBP – 1.4293
CAN$/GBP - 1.5764
AUS$/GBP – 1.5272
ZAR/GBP – 11.225
JPY/GBP – 131.437
HKD/GBP – 12.621
NZD/GBP – 2.0582
SEK/GBP – 10.222
US$/EURO - 1.4257

To request a up-to-the minute quotation, call 0808 163 0102 or fill out our quote form: http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/quote.aspx

UK inflation hit 4.5% in April, an increase from March’s 4%, a 2-1/2 year high. With the U.K. economy contracting in the fourth quarter of 2010 and hardly expanding in the first quarter 2011, coupled with cuts in government spending, the Governor of the Bank of England Mervyn King warns that in reacting too quickly to rising prices [i.e. increasing UK interest rates] could harm the economy. Initially sterling strengthened jumped yesterday after a bigger-than-expected rise in UK consumer prices, as investors acknowledged higher inflation will hardly lead to an interest rate anytime soon. Out today we have BoE’s MPC minutes which will shed further light on the BoE’s thinking. So call in now to get the latest news and prices.
 
The euro is weighed down by concerns that Greece might restructure its massive debt. Jean-Claude Juncker, chairman of euro zone finance ministers, said for the first time yesterday that Greece may have to ask investors to extend the maturities of the Greek debt. This will be a default in most peoples minds. The IMF will complete in mid- June its detailed analysis of Greek debt which means another month of uncertainty. The main support for the euro is that interest rates at least in the short term are expected to rise faster in the euro zone than in the U.S. German investor sentiment data released was weaker than expected. Call in now to see which way the euro is moving today.
 
The price of oil and the dollar are going in opposite directions. Oil prices went down slightly yesterday, pressured by a firmer dollar. Industrial and housing data out yesterday in the US disappointed. This led to an increase in risk aversion which benefited the US$.
 
The Australian dollar was up 0.45% at $1.0600, helped by yesterday’s positive minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia. With regards to the Chinese Yuan, economist have suggested that it is possible for it to rise 5-6% this year as China still needs to curb consumer inflation. The New Zealand dollar fell versus the US dollar as stocks and commodity prices weakened..

For more information on Smart Currency Exchange, please call our freephone: 0808 163 0102 (+44 (0)207 898 0541 from outside the UK) or visit our website at: SmartCurrencyExchange.com

Posted May 17th, 2011 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP - 1.1449
US$/GBP – 1.6216
CHF/GBP – 1.4372
CAN$/GBP - 1.5821
AUS$/GBP – 1.5305
ZAR/GBP – 11.320
JPY/GBP – 132.05
HKD/GBP – 12.613
NZD/GBP – 2.0753
SEK/GBP – 10.295
US$/EURO - 1.4168

To request a up-to-the minute quotation, call 0808 163 0102 or fill out our quote form: http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/quote.aspx

Sterling slipped against the euro yesterday as investors became concerned ahead of key UK figures released later this week. The Bank of England minutes, inflation and unemployment figures are all expected to compound the view that interest rates are set to remain on hold for a considerable time. Current trends show that if the pound does strengthen against the euro, it is quickly sold off again, making it even harder to buy at the right time. Sterling did strengthen against the US dollar, as it tracked gains made by the euro against the US currency. Sterling had lost a considerable amount against the US dollar last week as a sell off in commodities saw a flight to the relative safety of the US dollar. Out today, we have inflation figures so call in now as this could cause significant volatility.
 
In the euro zone, the euro had a strong day. Despite concerns that the arrest of IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn would impact on today’s meeting of European finance ministers, the euro rebounded as confidence grew that a solution would be reached regarding Greece to avoid a restructuring of the country’s debt. Greece is struggling to meet the term’s of last year’s €110bn package, but ministers are expected to show solidarity with the stricken country which should support the euro and potentially see sterling fall back towards €1.10 again. In terms of data, there is some economic sentiment data released which has caused movement in the past so call in now for a live exchange rate.
 
In the USA, the US dollar suffered across the board falling against the euro and dropping by 1% against the Swiss franc as investors battled to come to terms with the country’s fiscal position. In addition, optimism that European finance ministers would manage to negotiate a deal that avoids a debt restructuring saw a flow from US dollars to euros. Out today we have some housing figures which could cause some movement.
 
Elsewhere, commodity based currencies continue to suffer following last week’s sudden drop in commodity prices. Commodity prices have been particularly high and this has caused inflation across many countries. Many argue that commodity prices are a bubble waiting to burst, so that the global economy can get on with recovery without inflationary pressures. We shall have to see what happens.

For more information on Smart Currency Exchange, please call our freephone: 0808 163 0102 (+44 (0)207 898 0541 from outside the UK) or visit our website at: SmartCurrencyExchange.com

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