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Posted July 17th, 2012 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP – 1.2732
US$/GBP – 1.5642
CHF/GBP – 1.5303
CAN$/GBP – 1.5872
AUS$/GBP – 1.5201
ZAR/GBP – 12.8071
JPY/GBP – 123.56
HKD/GBP – 12.1432
NZD/GBP – 1.9588
SEK/GBP – 10.9981
AED/GBP – 5.7453
US$/EURO – 1.2286
INR/GBP – 86.28

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Sterling had a strong day today reaching fresh 3.5 year highs of €1.2765/£1 against the euro whilst performing relatively well against the majority of other currencies despite the IMF downgrading the UK’s growth forecast in 2012 from 0.8% to 0.2%. Inflation data in the form of Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures is released today which is expected to show a figure of 2.8% matching last month’s change, whilst the Governor of the Bank of England is also speaking. Call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

The euro had a relatively poor day reaching new lows against sterling and dipping back below the 1.22 level against the US dollar before recovering in the afternoon. The euro weakened as a report suggested that the European Central Bank may be changing their mind on the seniority of debt, meaning that senior bank debt holders should now share in any losses that may occur which is the opposite to what was implied a few weeks ago. German business climate sentiment and (ZEW) economic sentiment data will be the main data released today; so, call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

The US dollar started the day fairly strong before weakening in the afternoon as core retail sales and retail sales figures missed expectations dropping by 0.4% and 0.5% respectively when small gains had been anticipated. Core CPI data is the main news on the agenda today whilst the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank is also speaking. Call in now for a live quote and the latest update.

Elsewhere, the Japanese yen was the best performing currency yesterday strengthening against all the major currencies as risk aversion was the main driver in the market despite the Japanese markets being shut for a bank holiday, whilst the Swedish krona was one of the worst performers. Early this morning, minutes from the latest Australian monetary policy meeting were released and this afternoon the Bank of Canada is expected to keep interest rates on hold. Call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

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Posted July 16th, 2012 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note – 16th July 2012

EURO/GBP – 1.2712
US$/GBP – 1.5561
CHF/GBP – 1.5274
CAN$/GBP – 1.5783
AUS$/GBP – 1.5206
ZAR/GBP – 12.8434
JPY/GBP – 122.89
HKD/GBP – 12.0532
NZD/GBP – 1.9535
SEK/GBP – 10.9441
AED/GBP – 5.7139
US$/EURO – 1.2226
INR/GBP – 85.29

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This week we will see the release of a raft of UK economic data. Inflation data is released on Tuesday and the expectations are for it to be around the 2.8% level. Not quite the target rate as set by the Bank of England but a lot closer than a few months ago. Later in the week we also have retails sales data for June and the hope is for steady growth which should be achieved given that the Diamond Jubilee fell in this period. Toward the end of the week we have unemployment figures which are expected to show an unemployment rate of 8.2%, the same as last month. Not great but with given what is happening elsewhere probably okay in the eyes of the market. We also have the release of the minutes of the last Bank of England meeting. At the last meeting we had the increase in quantitative easing by £50 billion and it is thought all 9 members voted for this. It will be interesting to see if any members voted for a bigger increase. So after a week when there wasn’t much data released we have a very busy week and as such volatility could be high. Call in now for the latest news and the latest rate.

Will the euro garner any friends this week? Less economic data will be released than in the UK. Inflation is expected to stay at an annual rate of 2.4% and the trade balance is expected to improve slightly. However most eyes will continue to stay focused on the Euro zone debt crisis and the level of yields on Spanish and Italian government debt. The progress being made on the bank rescue package will also be scrutinized as timings and the lack of detail are of concern to the market. Also the on-going effect of the European Central Bank reduction in interest rates could be negative for the euro as investors move their funds elsewhere. So all in all it could be a lively week for the euro and best to call us asap to get an update and the latest rate.

The US$ has benefited from the uncertainty in the Euro zone. Inflation or the lack of inflation seems to be the major concern with it forecast to be 1.2% in the second half of 2012. This is way below the 2% target of the Federal Reserve. We also have the Chairman of the Federal Reserve making his semi-annual monetary to Congress and markets will be looking for any hints on further quantitative easing. See how the US$ is doing by calling in for the latest rate.

There is a raft of economic data out of Canada so it will be interesting to see what effect this has and what effect it has on other commodity backed currencies especially given the concern over China and its economy.

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Posted July 12th, 2012 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP – 1.2648
US$/GBP – 1.5474
CHF/GBP – 1.5201
CAN$/GBP – 1.5806
AUS$/GBP – 1.5222
ZAR/GBP – 12.8612
JPY/GBP – 122.73
HKD/GBP – 12.0053
NZD/GBP – 1.9561
SEK/GBP – 10.8568
AED/GBP – 5.6812
US$/EURO – 1.2221
INR/GBP – 86.18

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Steady day for sterling gaining a bit of ground against the euro and holding its own against the US$. No major economic news in the UK to influence matters from this end and it seems to be a case of watching what happens elsewhere especially in the euro zone. At one stage sterling hit its highest level against the euro since October 2008. Call in now to see how sterling is faring today.

The euro continues to suffer as the news out of the Euro zone continues to be mixed. Yields on Spanish government bonds both fell which is positive as further austerity measures were announced. However uncertainty about the detail and timescales of the rescue packages announced at the last EU summit continue to worry the markets. The euro has very few friends. Call in now for the latest update.

The US$ benefits from its safe haven status in these troubled times continuing to gain against the euro. We also had the release of the minutes of the last meeting of the Federal Reserve. These were neutral on further quantitative easing which supported the US$ overnight. So short term the US$ seems to be the best supported currency of the three. Will this continue – call in to find out.

Elsewhere we saw weakness from the Australian dollar as risk aversion heightened. The Japanese yen benefits from an improving economy which reduces the likelihood of further liquidity easing from the Bank of Japan.

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Posted July 11th, 2012 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP – 1.2655
US$/GBP – 1.5526
CHF/GBP – 1.5201
CAN$/GBP – 1.5844
AUS$/GBP – 1.5175
ZAR/GBP – 12.6822
JPY/GBP – 123.20
HKD/GBP – 12.0429
NZD/GBP – 1.9504
SEK/GBP – 10.824
AED/GBP – 5.702
US$/EURO – 1.2267
INR/GBP – 85.91

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Sterling gained some ground against the euro during the course of Tuesday and was fairly steady against other currencies. The trade deficit for May was slightly better than Aprils as exports grew by 6.6%. Not sure what the split is between price increases resulting from a stronger pound against the euro or volume increases from increased trade. Hopefully the latter rather than the former but I suspect it’s the other way round. The key influencers for sterling for the rest of the week is probably going to be news elsewhere especially out of Europe. Call in now to see how sterling is faring.

Fairly safe to say the euro hasn’t any friends at the moment as it lost ground against the board yesterday. Slightly surprising as progress was made in supplying urgently required funds for the Spanish banks in a timely and flexible manner. This helped reduce yields on both Spanish and Italian government debt. I think the major problem is the lack of detail behind the policies put forward for resolving the longer term problems and this lack of detail increases the markets worries and uncertainties. Get the latest rates by calling in now.

The US$ had a similar day to sterling, steady against a wide range of currencies but gaining ground against the euro. No major news out of the US yesterday but today we have the release of the minutes of the last meeting of the Federal Reserve. The markets will be reviewing the committees view on the necessity for further quantitative easing. The Chairman of the Federal Reserve has made it quite clear that if he thinks the US economy is not moving forward as he would like then he will increase liquidity which is usually bad for a currency. Get an update now by calling in.

China surprised the markets in two ways yesterday. Their trade surplus increased to over US$30 billion when expectations were for it to fall and this increase was on the back of imports not growing as fast as expected or as fast as exports. The level of imports increased worries on the state of the Chinese economy especially after last week’s cut in interest rates. Call now for a quote.

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Posted July 10th, 2012 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP – 1.2606
US$/GBP – 1.5505
CHF/GBP – 1.5147
CAN$/GBP – 1.5822
AUS$/GBP – 1.5224
ZAR/GBP – 12.7521
JPY/GBP – 123.12
HKD/GBP – 12.0278
NZD/GBP – 1.9524
SEK/GBP – 10.8672
AED/GBP – 5.6964
US$/EURO – 1.2302
INR/GBP – 86.50

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Steady for sterling with no news either here or elsewhere to move sterling one direction or the other. Today we have a raft of UK data released covering retail sales, industrial production and trade balances. Expectations are not high as business confidence continues to fall across the world. It is probably a case of what happens elsewhere that will be key in determining sterling’s short term direction. Call in now to get a detailed update and the latest rates.

The key event in the Euro zone is the meeting of its finance ministers in Brussels who need to start implementing the decisions taken at the last EU summit. The implementation is not expected to be a quick process even though speedy action would be very helpful to economies throughout the world. With increased risk aversion we have seen the yields on Spanish and Italian debt continue to rise with the debt on the Spanish debt hitting 7% at one stage. The inverse happened to German government debt with yields becoming negative. I think this highlights clearly the contrasting fortunes within the Euro zone and the difficulties faced. Get the latest euro rate by calling in now.

The US$ made significant gains at the end of last week and gave some of these back on Monday. In the US, just like in Germany, yields on US government debt fell as risk aversion came to the fore. The markets are waiting for the release of the minutes of the last Federal Reserve meeting which will detail their views on further quantitative easing. This happens tomorrow. Call in for an update and the latest US$ rate.

Elsewhere limited news on a quiet Monday. Japan saw machinery orders fall by 14.8% in May to the lowest level for 2 years. This highlights worries that the Euro zone problems are having far reaching consequences on the world’s economy.

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Posted July 9th, 2012 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP – 1.2592
US$/GBP – 1.5496
CHF/GBP – 1.5135
CAN$/GBP – 1.5789
AUS$/GBP – 1.5210
ZAR/GBP – 12.7614
JPY/GBP – 123.43
HKD/GBP – 12.0162
NZD/GBP – 1.9452
SEK/GBP – 10.8781
AED/GBP – 5.6869
US$/EURO – 1.2298
INR/GBP – 86.80

To request a up-to-the minute quotation, call 0808 163 0102 or fill out our quote form

A mixed week for sterling last week and I suspect this week will be no different. Sterling gained ground against the euro pushing through the €1.26/£1 level on Friday, a rate last seen three and half years ago, as the European Central Bank reduced interest rates. Sterling lost ground against the US$ as the likelihood in some investors eyes of further US quantitative easing receded on the back of reasonable US non-farm payroll figures released on Friday. Tuesday is the main day for the release of UK data this week. Industrial and manufacturing data for May will be released as will the trade balance for May. Expectations are for a slight narrowing but will still be a £9 billion outflow. I suspect events elsewhere will be the main drivers of sterling exchange rates. Call in now for the latest update.

Similar data is released in Europe this week and the data is expected to show the continuing decline in activity and the growing recession in the Euro zone. Trade balance data is going to highlight the disparity between the different countries with Germany expecting an inflow of €13 billion. Quite a contrast to the UK and highlights the might of the German economy. The key driver of the euro’s weakness is the yields on Spanish and Italian debt and these will be watched very carefully this week and if they hit the 7% level we could see further weakness from the euro against all currencies. Don’t get caught out by the uncertainty – call in now for the latest rate.

In the US we had the non-farm payroll data released on Friday. This showed the creation of 80,000 jobs against an expectation of 100,000. So a slight disappointment but not enough to undermine US$. This week we have the release of the minutes from the last meeting of the Federal Reserve. This will be carefully read to see if the likelihood of further quantitative easing as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve has made it quite clear that he will do whatever is required to keep the US economy moving forward. But things can quickly change so call no.

Elsewhere it seems that China will dominate the news flow. China cuts its interest rate to 6% last week as worries over their economy continue. Growth in the second quarter is expected to fall to 7.8% and their trade balance falls slightly to a surplus of US$18.5 billion. Hence the monetary easing by reducing the interest rate. If only the UK had these problems. Call now for an update and the latest rates.

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Posted July 6th, 2012 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

This week – (Last week)
EURO/GBP 1.2536 – (EURO/GBP 1.2410)
US$/GBP 1.5527 – (US$/GBP 1.5628)
CHF/GBP 1.5067 – (CHF/GBP 1.4916)
CAN$/GBP 1.5758 – (CAN$/GBP 1.6022)
AUS$/GBP 1.5120 – (AUS$/GBP 1.5394)
ZAR/GBP 12.6725 – (ZAR/GBP 12.9788)
JPY/GBP 124.01 – (JPY/GBP 124.36)
HKD/GBP 12.0420 – (HKD/GBP 12.1321)
NZD/GBP 1.9341 – (NZD/GBP 1.9597)
SEK/GBP 10.8170 – (SEK/GBP 10.896)
AED/GBP 5.6998 – (AED/GBP 5.7431)
US$/EURO 1.2380 – (US$/EURO 1.2595)
INR/GBP 86.08 – (INR/GBP 88.06)

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Sterling had a mixed week rising to €1.255/£1 against the euro; but, dropping back down to US$1.550/£1 against the US dollar. The main reason for the loss of ground against the US$ was the Bank of England announcement that it will inject a further £50billion pounds into the economy though quantitative easing. A lot of focus has been given to Barclays former boss Bob Diamond as the LIBOR fixing scandal developed which the markets fear could spread to many other banks which in turn would severely damage the UK’s financial market as a whole. Mixed Purchasing Managers’ Indices (PMI) figures were released in the week with the biggest shock coming from the construction industry which showed a contraction when expansion had been anticipated. Inflation data in the form of the Producer Price Index (PPI) is the only significant data released today as the markets pay closer attention to the Non-farm payroll data being released in the US. Call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

The euro had an extremely poor week which was epitomised by the European Central Bank’s (ECB) decision to cut interest rates to 0.75% yesterday. This saw the euro tumble against the majority of currencies. Whilst the rate cut was widely expected, it disappointed the market as it underlines the weakness of the Eurozone in general. On the data front, unemployment in Europe reached a record high of 11.1%; whilst PMI data released also confirmed the Eurozone is in recession which goes someway to explain the ECB’s decision to cut the central bank interest rate. German industrial production figures is the only data of note released today as the markets absorb the vast quantity of data announced yesterday whilst looking towards the US for influence. Call in now for the latest quote and a live update.

The US dollar performed well this week despite worse than expected PMI data being released, with the manufacturing figures actually showing a contraction in manufacturing when slight growth had been anticipated. Other data included the monthly factory orders beating expectations by rising by 0.7% when last month figures recorded a contraction of 0.7%. US unemployment figures released yesterday came in much better than expected which bodes well for the highly influential Non-farm payrolls data released today; but, we will have to wait and see. Call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

Elsewhere, like in the UK and Europe the main news this week came from the central banks; the Peoples Bank of China announced that it had cut interest rates yesterday; whilst the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Riksbank (Sweden’s Central Bank) kept rates on hold. The Australian dollar continued to strengthen as Australian data revealed that the monthly building approval figures rose dramatically by 27.3% when only a 5.1% increase was expected; whilst much better than expected retail sales figures were also released. Other data released includes Swiss retail sales which were much better than expected posting a reading of 6.2% when only 2.1% had been anticipated. Swiss foreign currency reserve figures are released first thing this morning; however the majority of data released today comes from Canada which includes building permits, employment data and PMI figures. Call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

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Posted July 5th, 2012 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP – 1.2448
US$/GBP – 1.5608
CHF/GBP – 1.4962
CAN$/GBP – 1.5806
AUS$/GBP – 1.5204
ZAR/GBP – 12.7014
JPY/GBP – 124.29
HKD/GBP – 12.1013
NZD/GBP – 1.9439
SEK/GBP – 10.7834
AED/GBP – 5.7278
US$/EURO – 1.2532
INR/GBP – 85.85

To request a up-to-the minute quotation, call 0808 163 0102 or fill out our quote form

Sterling had a poor day yesterday as the services Purchasing Managers’ Indices (PMI) figures released were worse than expected. The focus yesterday was on former Barclays boss Bob Diamond as he went before the Treasury Select Committee to explain the LIBOR fixing scandal that has shaken the already fragile financial sector. The market expects that the Monetary Policy Committee will vote to keep interest rates on hold today at 0.5%; but, look to increase quantitative easing by £50 billion in attempt to shore up the UK’s economy. There is the potential for a lot of volatility today, especially with the European Central Bank’s (ECB) rate announcement just 45 minutes after the Bank of England’s; so, call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

The euro was weak yesterday in anticipation of the expected ECB’s cut to interest rates today by 25bps to 0.75%. On the data front, final services PMI came in as expected; but, monthly retails sales figures were much better than expected posting a 0.6% growth showing a big improvements on last month’s -1.4% figure; but, did little to help the euro’s strength. Today’s bench mark 10 year Spanish bond auction will play an impact on the market; but, will play second string to the ECB rate announcement which could cause a lot of volatility. Call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

The US dollar performed well yesterday despite the US markets being extremely quiet as the Americans enjoyed the Independence Day bank holiday. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing PMI indices data released today is expected to show a gentle industry expansion; but, we will have to see if the release follows the trend of weak PMI data released across the rest of the world this week. The unemployment data released today will be the main news on the agenda and will provide some direction to the expected figures for the highly influential Non-farm payrolls data released on Friday; so, call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

Elsewhere, the Swedish krona was extremely strong yesterday following the news that its central bank decided to keep its interest rate on hold at 1.5%.  The Australian dollar also performed well as much better than expected retail sales figures were released; whilst, the New Zealand dollar and Japanese yen were not too far behind. Trade Balance data from Australia was released late last night; but, very little other data is released today; so, call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

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Posted July 4th, 2012 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP – 1.2442
US$/GBP – 1.5668
CHF/GBP – 1.4952
CAN$/GBP – 1.5876
AUS$/GBP – 1.5236
ZAR/GBP – 12.6625
JPY/GBP – 124.92
HKD/GBP – 12.1451
NZD/GBP – 1.9482
SEK/GBP – 10.8817
AED/GBP – 5.7516
US$/EURO – 1.2586
INR/GBP – 85.69

To request a up-to-the minute quotation, call 0808 163 0102 or fill out our quote form

Sterling was fairly range bound yesterday against the euro and US dollar; but, was weak against the commodity backer currencies as construction Purchasing Managers’ Indices (PMI) released was much worse than expected. The data showed that the industry contracted in June when a slight expansion had been anticipated making it increasingly likely that the Bank of England will increase quantitative easing by £50 billion on Thursday. Other data released showed that the change in the total value of money leant to individuals had increased by more than expected. Services PMI is the main news on the agenda which is expected to show that the industry expanded last month; but, the markets will be tentative following yesterday’s shock contraction in the construction industry. Other data released includes the change in the price of homes financed by HBOS. Call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

The euro had a mixed day yesterday as monthly inflation data released was much lower than expected posting a -0.5% change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers. Greece plans to start to renegotiate the terms of its bailout package today; but, it is not clear how successful it will be, if at all. The main data released today will be the services PMI figures as well as the monthly change in the total value of sales at the retail level; so, call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

The US dollar was fairly weak yesterday as investors sought riskier assets to target a greater return for their money.  Data released showed that monthly factory orders beat expectations rising by 0.7% when last month saw a contraction of 0.7%.  It is a bank holiday in the US today so no significant data is released and the market will look elsewhere for influence. Call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

Elsewhere, the commodity backed currencies performed well today whilst the Japanese yen struggled as risk appetite drove the market. Data released  from Australia showed that whilst interest rates were kept on hold as expected, other figures revealed that the monthly building approval figures rose dramatically by 27.3% when only a 5.1% increase was expected, Australian retails sales data and services index figures were released first thing this morning; but, very little other data is released today. Call in now for the latest news and a live quote

If you haven’t opened a Smart account yet, call on 0808 163 0102 (+44 0207 898 0541) or fill out our online Account Form

Posted July 3rd, 2012 by Charles Purdy

Daily Currency Note

EURO/GBP – 1.2448
US$/GBP – 1.5697
CHF/GBP – 1.4962
CAN$/GBP – 1.5943
AUS$/GBP – 1.5305
ZAR/GBP – 12.7176
JPY/GBP – 125.22
HKD/GBP – 12.1751
NZD/GBP – 1.9528
SEK/GBP – 10.8690
AED/GBP – 5.763
US$/EURO – 1.2601
INR/GBP – 86.09

To request a up-to-the minute quotation, call 0808 163 0102 or fill out our quote form

Sterling strengthened against the euro recovering from Fridays lows whilst remaining fairly range bound against the majority of other currencies as manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Indices (PMI) figures released were better than expected showing less of a contraction than had initially been expected. UK construction PMI released today is expected to show that the industry expanded last month; but, to produce a slightly lower reading when compared to last month. Other data released today includes the change in the total value of money leant to individuals; so, call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

The euro had a poor day today as unemployment data released showed that the rate of unemployment in Europe was at a record high of 11.1%. PMI data released also confirmed the Eurozone is in recession making it increasingly likely that the European Central Bank will cut interest rates on Thursday. Spanish and Italian benchmark 10 year bond yields rose above 6.6% and 6.2% respectively which makes Thursdays Spanish 10 year bond auction an ominous prospect for the Spanish government as investors continue to demand a greater return for lending money to governments struggling to stabilize their respective economies. With little data released today the markets will look elsewhere for influence whilst looking ahead to Thursday’s central bank meetings. Call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

The US dollar had a mixed day strengthening against the euro whilst remaining fairly flat against sterling as data released showed that Manufacturing PMI was much worse than expecting showing a contraction figure of 49.7 when slight growth had been anticipated, highlighting the fragile state of the world’s largest economy. The monthly change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers is the only data of note released today in the US; so, call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

Elsewhere, the Japanese yen performed well yesterday as better than expected manufacturing data was released. Swiss retails sales data released yesterday were much better than expected posting a reading of 6.2% when only 2.1% had been expected; furthermore, Swiss PMI figures also beat the markets estimates. The Australian interest rate decision and monthly building approval figures were announced first thing this morning; whilst Japan also released data showing the year on year average cash earning. Very little other data is released today; so, call in now for the latest news and a live quote.

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