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Posted February 27th, 2013 by Charles Purdy

The Italian elections continue to worry markets | Smart Daily Currency Note

GBP/EUR – 1.1532
GBP/USD – 1.5114
EUR/GBP – 0.8665
EUR/USD – 1.3082
GBP/AED – 5.5514
GBP/AUD – 1.4786
GBP/CAD – 1.5492
GBP/CHF – 1.4077
GBP/CNY – 9.47
GBP/HKD – 11.7152
GBP/HUF – 341.49
GBP/INR – 81.03
GBP/JPY – 138.50
GBP/NZD – 1.8304
GBP/RUB – 46.16
GBP/SEK – 9.7372
GBP/ZAR – 13.3356

Sterling

Sterling had a mixed day yesterday – starting off on the front foot reaching highs of 1.1650 against the euro and 1.5220 against the US dollar before losing ground later in the day. Sterling struggled after one of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members from the Bank of England (BoE) suggested he was open to more monetary easing and furthermore, that the prospect of negative interest rates had been raised at central bank meetings. Furthermore, realised sales data from the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) came out lower than expected. Out today we have the second estimate of the UK’s fourth quarter GDP which is expected to show a contraction of 0.3%, the same as the first estimate. Moreover, more MPC members will be speaking today, and following yesterday’s volatility, the market will pay close attention to what they have to say. Call now for the latest updates on sterling.

Euro

It has been a turbulent few days for the euro, news of the inconclusive Italian election yesterday drove the euro to a seven week low against the dollar – whilst weakening by three cents against sterling. The damage was not as widespread as first feared however, as traders became confident that the European Central Bank (ECB) would intervene to limit the fallout, and the euro strengthened in the afternoon. Today is likely to be just as volatile with two important events. Firstly, we expect an Italian 10 Year Bond auction this morning – a key way for governments to borrow money and high yields mean high borrowing costs for the Italian Government. Secondly, in the afternoon the ECB President is speaking in Germany, we traditionally see a great deal of volatility during his speeches as markets look for hints as to future monetary policy. Get in touch now for the latest news and rates.

US Dollar

The US dollar generally performed well yesterday, strengthening against the majority of its currency partners with Consumer Confidence figures and New Home Sales data (rising in January to the highest since 2008) both coming out much better than expected. Along with this, the Federal Reserve Chairman backed the central bank’s current stimulus program, saying that they will support the asset purchases with “little risk of inflation or asset-price bubbles” causing the dollar to strengthen further. In the testimony he stated that “We do not see the potential costs of the increased risk-taking in some financial markets as outweighing the benefits of promoting a stronger economic recovery.” Although he also warned that the automatic federal budget cuts in line to begin 1st of March will add a “significant” burden to the economy if lawmakers are unable to avert from the reductions. Today we will see Core Durable Goods orders along with the second part of the Chairman of the Federal Bank’s “congressional testimony” on monetary policy.

Worldwide

Elsewhere, the Canadian dollar fell to a eight month low versus the US dollar following better than expected data out of the US and the comments from the Chairman of the Federal Bank. The commodity backed currencies struggled in general yesterday whilst the Japanese yen prospered due to risk aversion driving the markets and traders seeking safer havens for their money. The Russian rouble was one of the worst performers yesterday after GDP data released showed that the economy had contracted by 0.3%. Call in now for a market update and a live quote.

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Posted July 27th, 2010 by Charles Purdy


EURO/GBP – 1.190
US$/GBP – 1.547
CHF/GBP – 1.632
CAN$/GBP – 1.594
AUS$/GBP – 1.714
NZD/GBP – 2.105
EURO/US$ – 1.300

Sterling hit a 5 month high against the US dollar in early trading this morning, tentatively reaching $1.5530/£1 in early trading as investors looked to target ‘riskier’ trades. Following Friday’s generally benign stress test results for European banks, stock markets rose globally yesterday as appetite for risk grew amongst global investors despite heavy criticism of the tests from many commentators for not going far enough. Sterling has benefited from strong economic data recently and this has seen strength against the US dollar. Many analysts pointed to the fact that the pound is limited in where it can go against the US dollar simply by the sheer performance it has put in over the last week, but there is potential for the pound to strengthen further against the euro. After a very quiet day yesterday on the data front, there is CBI realised sales data out today which is a useful indicator of sales volume/ performance amongst retailers and wholesalers. Call in now for a live exchange rate.

In the Euro zone, the results of the European stress tests on Friday continue to be the main source of trading movement. 91 banks passed and only 7 failed, which has prompted a surge in investor risk appetite, but the manner of the tests has attracted criticism for not delving far enough into the balance sheets of banks which are clearly in trouble. So far today German consumer confidence has showed a mild improvement and later today there is money supply and private loans data. There is scope for significant movement – get in touch now to avoid missing out.

In the USA, the major piece of data was US new home sales which provided a rare ray of light in an otherwise gloomy housing market. The figures showed a jump of 23.6% to an annual rate of 330,000 from a downwardly revised figure of 267,000 units in May. This was the largest percentage jump since May 1980 and has been attributed to the expiry of tax credits in April which saw a record low figure in June. Out later today there is consumer confidence data which is expected to show a mild decline following recent poor data. Call in now to take advantage of the best US dollar prices for 5 months.

Elsewhere, Asian stock markets added 0.6% overnight following the rebound in US home sales data. A measure of Japanese inflation showed a decline of 1% in the year to June, pointing to more deflation, and Australian price data showed a rise of 0.3% following growth in rural goods exports. Ensure you don’t miss out by getting in touch to avoid higher yielding currencies strengthening too far against the pound.

Exchange rates change every second – call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote on our Freephone number: 0808 163 0102 (+44 (0)207 898 0541 from outside the UK) or fill out our online quote form at: SmartCurrencyExchange.com/quote.aspx

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