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Posted February 27th, 2013 by Charles Purdy

The Italian elections continue to worry markets | Smart Daily Currency Note

GBP/EUR – 1.1532
GBP/USD – 1.5114
EUR/GBP – 0.8665
EUR/USD – 1.3082
GBP/AED – 5.5514
GBP/AUD – 1.4786
GBP/CAD – 1.5492
GBP/CHF – 1.4077
GBP/CNY – 9.47
GBP/HKD – 11.7152
GBP/HUF – 341.49
GBP/INR – 81.03
GBP/JPY – 138.50
GBP/NZD – 1.8304
GBP/RUB – 46.16
GBP/SEK – 9.7372
GBP/ZAR – 13.3356

Sterling

Sterling had a mixed day yesterday – starting off on the front foot reaching highs of 1.1650 against the euro and 1.5220 against the US dollar before losing ground later in the day. Sterling struggled after one of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members from the Bank of England (BoE) suggested he was open to more monetary easing and furthermore, that the prospect of negative interest rates had been raised at central bank meetings. Furthermore, realised sales data from the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) came out lower than expected. Out today we have the second estimate of the UK’s fourth quarter GDP which is expected to show a contraction of 0.3%, the same as the first estimate. Moreover, more MPC members will be speaking today, and following yesterday’s volatility, the market will pay close attention to what they have to say. Call now for the latest updates on sterling.

Euro

It has been a turbulent few days for the euro, news of the inconclusive Italian election yesterday drove the euro to a seven week low against the dollar – whilst weakening by three cents against sterling. The damage was not as widespread as first feared however, as traders became confident that the European Central Bank (ECB) would intervene to limit the fallout, and the euro strengthened in the afternoon. Today is likely to be just as volatile with two important events. Firstly, we expect an Italian 10 Year Bond auction this morning – a key way for governments to borrow money and high yields mean high borrowing costs for the Italian Government. Secondly, in the afternoon the ECB President is speaking in Germany, we traditionally see a great deal of volatility during his speeches as markets look for hints as to future monetary policy. Get in touch now for the latest news and rates.

US Dollar

The US dollar generally performed well yesterday, strengthening against the majority of its currency partners with Consumer Confidence figures and New Home Sales data (rising in January to the highest since 2008) both coming out much better than expected. Along with this, the Federal Reserve Chairman backed the central bank’s current stimulus program, saying that they will support the asset purchases with “little risk of inflation or asset-price bubbles” causing the dollar to strengthen further. In the testimony he stated that “We do not see the potential costs of the increased risk-taking in some financial markets as outweighing the benefits of promoting a stronger economic recovery.” Although he also warned that the automatic federal budget cuts in line to begin 1st of March will add a “significant” burden to the economy if lawmakers are unable to avert from the reductions. Today we will see Core Durable Goods orders along with the second part of the Chairman of the Federal Bank’s “congressional testimony” on monetary policy.

Worldwide

Elsewhere, the Canadian dollar fell to a eight month low versus the US dollar following better than expected data out of the US and the comments from the Chairman of the Federal Bank. The commodity backed currencies struggled in general yesterday whilst the Japanese yen prospered due to risk aversion driving the markets and traders seeking safer havens for their money. The Russian rouble was one of the worst performers yesterday after GDP data released showed that the economy had contracted by 0.3%. Call in now for a market update and a live quote.

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Posted August 13th, 2010 by Charles Purdy

EURO/GBP – 1.217
US$/GBP – 1.563
CHF/GBP – 1.645
CAN$/GBP – 1.622
AUS$/GBP – 1.737
NZD/GBP – 2.193
EURO/US$ – 1.284

It has been a mixed week for sterling which ended the week up against the euro and down against the US dollar as a fresh wave of risk aversion hit global markets. Sterling hit a new 6 month high of $1.5999/ £1 on Monday but then dropped to a 2 week low of $1.5565/£1 on Thursday. The reason for this sudden increase in risk aversion was as a result of Wednesday’s Bank of England quarterly inflation report. This was a key assessment of the new government’s spending cuts and tax hikes and as a result, growth forecasts were slashed and inflation is expected to be well within the target 2% level within 2 years. More importantly, the Bank left the door wide open for further emergency Quantitative Easing if it is needed. This left financial markets concerned over UK recovery. Poor housing data and lower consumer confidence added to sterling’s problems and the strength against the Euro was related to risk aversion caused by the US economy. Call in now to ensure you don’t lose out on further poor market movements

In the Euro zone, sterling has broken out of the tight range we have seen over the last 2 weeks against the euro after the US Federal Reserve voted to inject further money to jumpstart the flagging US recovery. This saw investors pull out of riskier euro assets and buy into the safer currencies of US dollar and sterling. As a result, the euro lost over 2% against the US dollar and 1% against sterling. Poor data from Greece and a drop in European industrial output on Thursday kept the euro under pressure. Out today, there is GDP data for the region so call in now to ensure that you don’t miss out.

Against the US dollar, sterling jumped to a 6 month high against US dollar this week, but since Monday sterling has been on a downward trend after the Federal Reserve announced further Quantitative Easing. On Wednesday, the decision was made that the US economy had underperformed for the last quarter and as such, it needed a further boost. As a result, risk aversion is back in play and there is strong demand for the safe haven US dollars despite major concerns over the US economy. Now might be a good time to secure prices to stop the market moving further against you as some analysts are predicting a return to the $1.40s. Today could be interesting too, as according to some research, an estimated 17-21 million people in the USA are afflicted by a fear of Friday the 13th (or friggatriskaidekaphobia) and the US economy loses between $800-$900m as people become too afraid to leave the house – ensure you don’t miss out by speaking to a trader today.

Elsewhere, retail sales in New Zealand came in far better than expected and as a result, the New Zealand dollar has outperformed major counterparts overnight. This countered last week’s disappointing unemployment rate and many traders questioned whether the central bank would in fact need to raise interest rates further in the year. Call in now for a live exchange rate.

Exchange rates change every second – call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote on our Freephone number: 0808 163 0102 (+44 (0)207 898 0541 from outside the UK) or fill out our online quote form at: SmartCurrencyExchange.com/quote.aspx

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